02
Everyday essentials: three in ten debit payments go to food, fuel and pharma.
Nearly one in three debit payments in Q4 went to something essential — food, fuel, or a trip to the pharmacy. That makes essentials the single largest spending category, and the one most resistant to seasonal swings. But within the category, a clear trade-down signal emerged.
Frequency of fast food purchases, the single biggest debit category at 8.9% of all transactions, declined 6.4% from October to December. Spending on fast food was essentially flat. Meanwhile, discount shop transactions surged 27.7%. Grocery tells a similar inflation story: people made just 4.2% more trips, but spent 19.3% more.
Key insight
Grocery spend tells a similar inflation story. People made a few more trips to the supermarket (just 4.2% more), but spent dramatically more (+19.3%) per trip.
03
The holiday haul: gift categories that exploded.
+30%Transaction Change · Oct → Dec +48.0%Dollar Spend Change · Oct → Dec 48Holiday Categories Tracked
The holiday shopping data tells a story in two acts. October was quiet — people were browsing, not buying. Then November hit, and the floodgates opened. Purchase frequency across gift categories jumped 24% from November to December alone, with dollar spend climbing 18% in that same window.
By December, Americans were buying sporting goods at more than double the October rate. Shoes (+87%), jewelry (+74%), and toys (+67%) all surged. Even craft supplies surged 77% as seasonal décor and handmade gifts had their moment.
These spending trends also reinforce the difference between high and low-income spending, known as the K-shaped economy.
Key insight
These spending trends also reinforce the difference between high and low-income spending, known as the K-shaped economy: department stores surged +110%, jewelry climbed +119%, and sporting goods nearly doubled — categories that skew toward higher-income gift-givers. At the same time, discount shops (+39.4%) and variety stores (+33.7%) posted strong growth too.
04
Subscription fatigue? The data says otherwise.
~14%Of Q4 Transactions Were Recurring +13.7%Transactions · Oct → Dec
+12.1%Spend · Oct → Dec
You've probably read that Americans are canceling their subscriptions left and right. The data says otherwise. Recurring payments accounted for about 14% of all Q4 debit transactions, and every major category grew from October to December. Cable and streaming services? Spend was up 8.5%. Subscription merchants? Up 7.8%. And digital app transactions — everything from fitness trackers to AI tools to meditation apps — grew a remarkable 25.8% outpacing the rest of the category.
Key insight
The stickiness of subscription spending via debit may represent the opposite side of BNPL. While Buy Now, Pay Later remains popular, recurring subscription billing on debit may be more predictable, pre-planned, only spending against money consumers actually have.
05
Movies, bets and bowling: the experience economy kept buzzing.
+5.3%Transactions · Oct → Dec
+7.9%Spend · Oct → Dec
23Experience Categories Tracked
Even in a quarter where people watched their grocery budgets, they didn't stop going out. Movie theaters saw a 74% surge from October to December, perfectly timed with Q4 blockbuster season.
Americans found room in their budgets for all kinds of fun, even while tightening up on essentials. They cut back on fast food runs but kept their movie tickets and gaming subscriptions. Another trade down indicator here: spend on catering was down nearly 15% during the typically busy holiday season.
Key insight
Online gambling — already legal in dozens of states — has now become the single largest experience-economy category on debit, with more transaction volume than airlines, hotels, and cruise lines combined.
06
Travel on a tighter leash: more trips, smaller budgets.
+3.5%Transactions · Oct → Dec
+3.4%Spend · Oct → Dec
9Travel Categories Tracked
Americans traveled in Q4: airlines grew 17% and cruise lines surged 32%, reinforcing the K-shaped narrative. But hotel transactions held essentially flat. Travel agencies grew 4.3%, hinting that consumers preferred planned trips over spontaneous bookings.
07
Digital payments pull ahead.
59.4%Digital Share · Transactions 65.7%Digital Share · Spend Here's a number that would have been unthinkable a decade ago: nearly six out of ten debit transactions in Q4 2025 happened without anyone touching a physical card. Digital payment channels don't just lead in volume — they punch above their weight in value, accounting for 59.4% of transactions but 65.7% of total dollar spend.
With more than 20% of all debit transactions happening through stored credentials (Card on File), it's clear that more brands are integrating payments directly into their websites and apps, with widening consumer adoption.
08
Healthcare: the year-end deductible rush.
-5.9%Transactions · Oct → Nov
+17.1%Transactions · Nov → Dec
+10.3%Transactions · Oct → Dec Healthcare spending followed a distinctive V-shape through Q4 as consumers raced to use benefits before the year-end deductible reset. If you've ever rushed to schedule a dentist appointment or fill a prescription before January 1, you know why. The annual reset creates a predictable end-of-year spike.
Counseling services grew 14.2%, a notable jump that may reflect both year-end benefit use and growing demand for mental health services. The data also suggests that healthcare is becoming more of a debit-card expense, as high-deductible health plans shift more costs to consumers’ everyday payment methods.
09
Pet life: furry friends got the holiday treatment too.
25%Pet Supplies · Oct → Dec
10.4%Spend · Oct → Dec
+20.0%Transactions · Oct → Dec Pet spending is one of the most recession-resistant consumer categories, and Q4 confirmed it: even consumers who traded down on their own meals splurged on holiday gifts for their pets. This makes pet spending a useful barometer for how ‘non-negotiable’ Americans consider their animals’ place in the household budget. Pet-supply transactions surged 25.0% from October to December, with nearly all that growth concentrated in the final month (+18.6% from November to December alone). Vet visits held essentially flat, confirming the growth was discretionary, not medical.